Editor/Publisher Comments:
Over the past six months I have written over 100 articles about the gold and silver sector, about Rare Earths, about the geopolitical situation as it unfolds within and without the US and about dealing with the psychology of life and the markets. The only problem is that I haven’t posted them. There you have it. We’ll see if my reluctance to post continues.
I am writing the 2010 Gift to the Gold Community and the list has doubled. No one has to tell experienced investors, or people wise in the way of the world, where to put their money. One wise man said, don’t tell me what to buy–tell me when to buy it!
With that, I’d like to introduce you to a very good friend and seasoned junior gold market analyst.He has been tremendously helpful to me and I am hoping we might tap into his insights on a more regular basis
These are his recent comments as posted on Bill Murphy’s www.lemetropolecafe.com. Even though they were posted a few days ago, these comments are as timely as ever:
Still Waiting Patiently by Chuck Cohen
Posted on September 20, 2010 (Today September 27, 2010, gold is at $1296.00 and silver is at $21.46
Even though we now see gold at a new high and silver has exceeded $21, we have still lacked the explosive part that we might expect. But, I see this coming almost imminently. These are some of my reasons.
1) The dollar is breaking down sharply. This will put rocket fuel in the commodities and especially the precious metals.
2) Even though gold has been moving up steadily, it really hasn’t had any spectacular days. This pattern keeps the deflationists and gold bears’ hopes going. But the persistence of the recent action especially in the listed shares is different from what we have seen over the bull market.
3) After about noon NYC time, for the past few weeks, the buying in gold suddenly quiets down. This is also unusual, and I believe very bullish.
4) It appears that the HUI 500 level has been pierced. It has remained a stubborn foe for several years but it looks like it will be next support not resistance. Today Newmont and Randgold made new highs. Again very bullish.
5) The volume in the shares both small and large have been definitely picking up. I believe we will see volume almost double or triple what they have been trading to propel the gold shares in the very near future.
6) We have not had a really strong close in the HUI for months, again very unusual behavior. I am a believer in watching how stocks open and close for clues as to what is happening.
7) I expect that the next move in the shares will be similar to the way the Dow finally broke out in August 1982 when the Dow went up 10% in a few days, and over 40% in 2 months. This should mean breakaway gaps for many of the gold shares. Breakaway gaps is a technical term that has been lost in our vocabulary because they are very rare, normally occurring only when a market finally launches up from a long basing pattern.
Put all of these together and we finally have the recipe for something that is going to catch most investors and even gold bulls by surprise, because we have been so conditioned to disappointment. This is also the time when the call for patience will be richly rewarded. Get ready for some real fun.
Chuck
There you have it in a nutshell. As pertains to gold and silver ahd their corresponding shares, it is not a question of “if”, it is simply a question of when they will really begin to put on a show. As I listen to all of these seasoned professionals talk about the real nature of the economy and where the US is headed financially, I can’t help but wonder how we get through it and have our country in one piece at the end of the day.
Incidentally, Chuck is available for private consultations and we are starting a series called Seacoast Publishing One on One.
If you are interested, please send me an email and I’ll send you the guidelines. In Chuck’s case, he will spend an hour with you and help you with whatever it is you need the help with! Contact me at www.seacoastconsulting.com.
Thank you Chuck!
Until Next time,
D. Stewart Armstrong





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